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Pandemic gets tougher to track as COVID testing plunges

Pandemic gets tougher to track as COVID testing plunges
there's still so much left to do this pandemic isn't over today. We mark *** tragic milestone here in the United States, one million covid deaths, one million empty chairs around the family dinner table. Each irreplaceable irreplaceable losses. This summit is an opportunity to renew our efforts to keep her foot on the gas when it comes to getting this pandemic under control and preventing future health crises collective. We're making significant new commitments. Help keep up the fight against COVID-19 and 2022 protect the most vulnerable populations and prepare for the next health crisis because the others and I'm encouraging other leaders to join me in and in upping their commitments. You know, we're gonna face together global health crisis. This is not the last one we've had. It's not *** question of if it's *** question of when. So we have to invest. Now now we have to secure political commitments. Now we have to start working to prevent the next variant and the next pandemic now. And that's and you know that that's going to require all of us, all of us to do more. I encourage every leader to ask yourself what more can I do. That's why I continue to call on Congress here at home To take the urgent action to provide emergency COVID-19 funding. That is vital to protect Americans To make sure we're that we maintain our our supplies of COVID-19 test treatments and vaccines, including next generation vaccines that are being developed. We can do this, we can control COVID-19, we can start to build *** better healthier and more secure future today. If we all do our part and if we step up together, so thank you for responding to this fight. And most especially thank you for all the doctors, nurses, and community health workers and scientists and aid workers and anyone and everyone on the front lines fighting this pandemic.
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Pandemic gets tougher to track as COVID testing plunges
Testing for COVID-19 has plummeted across the globe, making it much tougher for scientists to track the course of the pandemic and spot new, worrisome viral mutants as they emerge and spread.Experts say testing has dropped by 70 to 90% worldwide from the first to the second quarter of this year 바카라 게임 웹사이트 the opposite of what they say should be happening with new omicron variants on the rise in places such as the United States and South Africa.바카라 게임 웹사이트We바카라 게임 웹사이트re not testing anywhere near where we might need to,바카라 게임 웹사이트 said Dr. Krishna Udayakumar, who directs the Duke Global Health Innovation Center at Duke University. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We need the ability to ramp up testing as we바카라 게임 웹사이트re seeing the emergence of new waves or surges to track what바카라 게임 웹사이트s happening바카라 게임 웹사이트 and respond.Reported daily cases in the U.S., for example, are averaging 73,633, up more than 40% over the past two weeks, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. But that is a vast undercount because of the testing downturn and the fact tests are being taken at home and not reported to health departments. An influential modeling group at the University of Washington in Seattle estimates that only 13% of cases are being reported to health authorities in the U.S. 바카라 게임 웹사이트 which would mean more than a half million new infections every day.The drop in testing is global but the overall rates are especially inadequate in the developing world, Udayakumar said. The number of tests per 1,000 people in high income countries is around 96 times higher than it is in low income countries, according to the Geneva-based public health nonprofit FIND.What바카라 게임 웹사이트s driving the drop? Experts point to COVID fatigue, a lull in cases after the first omicron wave and a sense among some residents of low-income countries that there바카라 게임 웹사이트s no reason to test because they lack access to antiviral medications.At a recent press briefing by the World Health Organization, FIND CEO Dr. Bill Rodriguez called testing 바카라 게임 웹사이트the first casualty of a global decision to let down our guard바카라 게임 웹사이트 and said 바카라 게임 웹사이트we바카라 게임 웹사이트re becoming blind to what is happening with the virus.바카라 게임 웹사이트Testing, genomic sequencing and delving into case spikes can lead to the discovery of new variants. New York state health officials found the super contagious BA.2.12.1 variant after investigating higher-than-average case rates in the central part of the state.Going forward, 바카라 게임 웹사이트we바카라 게임 웹사이트re just not going to see the new variants emerge the way we saw previous variants emerge,바카라 게임 웹사이트 Rodriquez told The Associated Press.Testing increases as infections rise and people develop symptoms 바카라 게임 웹사이트 and it falls along with lulls in new cases. Testing is rising again in the U.S. along with the recent surge.But experts are concerned about the size of the drop after the first omicron surge, the low overall levels of testing globally, and the inability to track cases reliably. While home tests are convenient, only tests sent to labs can be used to detect variants. If fewer tests are being done, and fewer of those tests are processed in labs, fewer positive samples are available for sequencing.Also, home test results are largely invisible to tracking systems.Mara Aspinall, managing director of an Arizona-based consulting company that tracks COVID-19 testing trends, said there바카라 게임 웹사이트s at least four times more home testing than PCR testing, and 바카라 게임 웹사이트we are getting essentially zero data from the testing that바카라 게임 웹사이트s happening at home.바카라 게임 웹사이트That바카라 게임 웹사이트s because there바카라 게임 웹사이트s no uniform mechanism for people to report results to understaffed local health departments. The CDC strongly encourages people to tell their doctors, who in most places must report COVID-19 diagnoses to public health authorities.Generally, though, results from home tests fall under the radar.Reva Seville, a 36-year-old Los Angeles parent, tested herself at home recently after she began feeling symptoms such as a scratchy throat, coughing and congestion. After the results came back positive, she tested twice more just to be sure. But her symptoms were mild, so she didn't plan to go to the doctor or report her results to anyone.Beth Barton of Washington, Missouri, who works in construction, said she바카라 게임 웹사이트s taken about 10 home tests, either before visiting her parents or when she바카라 게임 웹사이트s had symptoms she thought might be COVID-19. All came back negative. She shared the results with the people around her but didn바카라 게임 웹사이트t know how to report them.바카라 게임 웹사이트There should be a whole system for that,바카라 게임 웹사이트 said Barton, 42. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We as a society don바카라 게임 웹사이트t know how to gauge where we바카라 게임 웹사이트re at.바카라 게임 웹사이트Aspinall said one potential solution would be to use technology like scanning a QR code to report home test results confidentiality.Another way to keep better track of the pandemic, experts said, is to bolster other types of surveillance, such as wastewater monitoring and collecting hospitalization data. But those have their own drawbacks. Wastewater surveillance remains a patchwork that doesn바카라 게임 웹사이트t cover all areas, and hospitalization trends lag behind cases.Udayakumar said scientists across the world must use all the tracking methods at their disposal to keep up with the virus, and will need to do so for months or even years.At the same time, he said, steps must be taken to boost testing in lower-income countries. Demand for tests would rise if access to antivirals were improved in these places, he said. And one of the best ways to increase testing is to integrate it into existing health services, said Wadzanayi Muchenje, who leads health and strategic partnerships in Africa for The Rockefeller Foundation.Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, said there will come a point when the world stops widespread testing for COVID-19 바카라 게임 웹사이트 but that day isn바카라 게임 웹사이트t here yet.With the pandemic lingering and virus still unpredictable, 바카라 게임 웹사이트it바카라 게임 웹사이트s not acceptable for us to only be concerned about individual health,바카라 게임 웹사이트 he said. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We have to worry about the population.바카라 게임 웹사이트___AP reporters Bobby Caina Calvan in New York and Carla K. Johnson in Seattle contributed to this story.

Testing for COVID-19 has plummeted across the globe, making it much tougher for scientists to track the course of the pandemic and spot new, worrisome viral mutants as they emerge and spread.

Experts say testing has dropped by 70 to 90% worldwide from the first to the second quarter of this year 바카라 게임 웹사이트 the opposite of what they say should be happening with new omicron variants on the rise in places such as the United States and South Africa.

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바카라 게임 웹사이트We바카라 게임 웹사이트re not testing anywhere near where we might need to,바카라 게임 웹사이트 said Dr. Krishna Udayakumar, who directs the Duke Global Health Innovation Center at Duke University. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We need the ability to ramp up testing as we바카라 게임 웹사이트re seeing the emergence of new waves or surges to track what바카라 게임 웹사이트s happening바카라 게임 웹사이트 and respond.

Reported daily cases in the U.S., for example, are averaging 73,633, up more than 40% over the past two weeks, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. But that is a vast undercount because of the testing downturn and the fact tests are being taken at home and not reported to health departments. An influential modeling group at the University of Washington in Seattle estimates that only 13% of cases are being reported to health authorities in the U.S. 바카라 게임 웹사이트 which would mean more than a half million new infections every day.

The drop in testing is global but the overall rates are especially inadequate in the developing world, Udayakumar said. The number of tests per 1,000 people in high income countries is around 96 times higher than it is in low income countries, .

What바카라 게임 웹사이트s driving the drop? Experts point to COVID fatigue, a lull in cases after the first omicron wave and a sense among some residents of low-income countries that there바카라 게임 웹사이트s no reason to test because they lack access to antiviral medications.

At a recent press briefing by the World Health Organization, FIND CEO Dr. Bill Rodriguez called testing 바카라 게임 웹사이트the first casualty of a global decision to let down our guard바카라 게임 웹사이트 and said 바카라 게임 웹사이트we바카라 게임 웹사이트re becoming blind to what is happening with the virus.바카라 게임 웹사이트

Testing, genomic sequencing and delving into case spikes can lead to the discovery of new variants. New York state health officials found the super contagious BA.2.12.1 variant after investigating higher-than-average case rates in the central part of the state.

Going forward, 바카라 게임 웹사이트we바카라 게임 웹사이트re just not going to see the new variants emerge the way we saw previous variants emerge,바카라 게임 웹사이트 Rodriquez told The Associated Press.

Testing increases as infections rise and people develop symptoms 바카라 게임 웹사이트 and it falls along with lulls in new cases. Testing is rising again in the U.S. along with the recent surge.

But experts are concerned about the size of the drop after the first omicron surge, the low overall levels of testing globally, and the inability to track cases reliably. While home tests are convenient, only tests sent to labs can be used to detect variants. If fewer tests are being done, and fewer of those tests are processed in labs, fewer positive samples are available for sequencing.

Also, home test results are largely invisible to tracking systems.

Mara Aspinall, managing director of an Arizona-based consulting company that tracks COVID-19 testing trends, said there바카라 게임 웹사이트s at least four times more home testing than PCR testing, and 바카라 게임 웹사이트we are getting essentially zero data from the testing that바카라 게임 웹사이트s happening at home.바카라 게임 웹사이트

That바카라 게임 웹사이트s because there바카라 게임 웹사이트s no uniform mechanism for people to report results to understaffed local health departments. The CDC strongly encourages people to tell their doctors, who in most places must report COVID-19 diagnoses to public health authorities.

Generally, though, results from home tests fall under the radar.

Reva Seville, a 36-year-old Los Angeles parent, tested herself at home recently after she began feeling symptoms such as a scratchy throat, coughing and congestion. After the results came back positive, she tested twice more just to be sure. But her symptoms were mild, so she didn't plan to go to the doctor or report her results to anyone.

Beth Barton of Washington, Missouri, who works in construction, said she바카라 게임 웹사이트s taken about 10 home tests, either before visiting her parents or when she바카라 게임 웹사이트s had symptoms she thought might be COVID-19. All came back negative. She shared the results with the people around her but didn바카라 게임 웹사이트t know how to report them.

바카라 게임 웹사이트There should be a whole system for that,바카라 게임 웹사이트 said Barton, 42. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We as a society don바카라 게임 웹사이트t know how to gauge where we바카라 게임 웹사이트re at.바카라 게임 웹사이트

Aspinall said one potential solution would be to use technology like scanning a QR code to report home test results confidentiality.

Another way to keep better track of the pandemic, experts said, is to bolster other types of surveillance, such as wastewater monitoring and collecting hospitalization data. But those have their own drawbacks. Wastewater surveillance remains a patchwork that doesn바카라 게임 웹사이트t cover all areas, and hospitalization trends lag behind cases.

Udayakumar said scientists across the world must use all the tracking methods at their disposal to keep up with the virus, and will need to do so for months or even years.

At the same time, he said, steps must be taken to boost testing in lower-income countries. Demand for tests would rise if access to antivirals were improved in these places, he said. And one of the best ways to increase testing is to integrate it into existing health services, said Wadzanayi Muchenje, who leads health and strategic partnerships in Africa for The Rockefeller Foundation.

Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, said there will come a point when the world stops widespread testing for COVID-19 바카라 게임 웹사이트 but that day isn바카라 게임 웹사이트t here yet.

With the pandemic lingering and virus still unpredictable, 바카라 게임 웹사이트it바카라 게임 웹사이트s not acceptable for us to only be concerned about individual health,바카라 게임 웹사이트 he said. 바카라 게임 웹사이트We have to worry about the population.바카라 게임 웹사이트

___

AP reporters Bobby Caina Calvan in New York and Carla K. Johnson in Seattle contributed to this story.